Startup runway planning tends to fail not because founders are dishonest about the numbers but because certain cost categories are systematically underestimated across every type of early-stage company. The burn rate in month 3 is almost always higher than the burn rate planned in month zero, and the gap is rarely one large unexpected expense. It is five smaller surprises that stack up.
I have looked at the financial models of dozens of early-stage Indian startups, and the same five patterns appear repeatedly. Not because founders are careless — most founders are genuinely thoughtful about costs — but because these specific categories are structurally difficult to estimate before you have operated for a few months.
Understanding where the gaps typically appear lets you build a more conservative model with appropriate buffer in the categories that almost always run over rather than the ones that might.